Middle East

Computer Model Says Iran Won't Build Nuclear Bombs
7 February 2009

AFP (LONG BEACH, CALIFORNIA)--A new projection based on a gaming and computer model predicted that Iran will not build a nuclear weapon. The model, created by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, a political scientist and an adviser to the Central Intelligence Agency and the Department of Defense, estimated that by the end of next year, Iran will stabilize its nuclear program at the point where the country makes enough weapons-grade fuel to build national pride but not enough to produce a nuclear weapon. Reports indicate that CIA officials find Bueno de Mesquita's computer models accurate 90 percent of the time. Source: http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5jlj9r48mmKlzVyN1bvwtS-WrgcaA (Reliability--Moderate 41.40)